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Last 20-12-20, 11-30-2019 List entries by date, First to latest on bottom.
20-12-20 We did very well with the early crash this year. The monumental pouring of liquidity by the Fed
since then makes what I say below is a gross underestimation of the final collapse of this massive corporate
subsidy bubble the Fed and our corrupt government has created. Enjoy, it will be fast, over in a blink.
Edit 11-30-2019 entry on 8-25-2018 The truth is that once income from exchanges(XC) of real Goods & Services(G&S) XCed decreases below debt service requirements as contractual debt service has reached monumental levels
caused by central banks forcing interest(i) rates to negative levels on bonds; then you must sell negative interest paper to raise cash to pay the required payments on existing debt.
Ergo,the first sellers take large capital gains on any bonds with a positive i rate coupon. The rush for the
exits creates a positive feedback cycle as the pigeons(= learning there are no free lunches) panic.
A virtually instant collapse.
Ain't free lunches wonderful?
The massive insider selling at a 20 to one rate while their companies are buying back there own stock with
borrowed money is truly staggering corruption.
8-29-2019 Gold and especially silver are skyrocketing while they rally stocks slightly. Insiders are selling
at a record rate. They are holding stocks while buying gold and silver. When people wake up and realize most
sovereign debt is unplayable, interest rates especially in Junk bonds and long bonds must skyrocket as owners
at the margins panic and take capital gains and flee to cash = silver/gold.
I have never seen a bigger herd belief that interest rates are going lower. Hillary will win is a close second. I got
nice odds on several bets Trump would win. In markets when everyone is a bull go short and when everyone is a
bear, go long; old trading rule.The great pigeon plucking is underway. Next to be skinned are our corrupt leaders
who think they will get away with this.
8-31-2019 The basic reason this will go so fast is that we have run out of time to repay the contractual
payments on our debts. We only have so much total time alive to produce the G&S we must XC at a mutual
profit = time saved on both sides of an XC. Ronald Coase's underlying assumption was that the total "money" in
the world economy was fixed per unit time. As our real underlying "money" is the available time spent working to
produce G&S, we now don't have the time to pay for honest work and also the payments on corruptly made bad loans.
Ignorance is never an excuse for a free people who think there is a free lunch. History is replete with examples of
the inevitable collapse following a printing up dishonest debt spree. I think we can safely say, our well paid
"economists" who rationalized this show why Phd = "Piled higher and deeper" for far to high a percentage of them.
You can not print time alive. You can not print real work, nor force willing XCs. Anyone want slavery as an option?
The solution,of course, is to create and maintain an honest money whose quantity is clearly known to all
per unit time. I will discuss the least cost way for us to do that later.
The crucial benefit from this collapse is all of you are going to be forced to stop and take stock on where we are
and what we must do to actually become the free people of Earth. It is about time don't you think?
9-03-19 Market down sharply on low volume and very bad news, Silver and gold up record amounts this
move. Only Fed plunge protection team is holding it. Tomorrow volume will increase with attempt to stop panic
. The decrease in long end rates is going to start reversing. Long bonds have huge capital gains. God help the
pension funds holding all this negative and low yield paper. Once dollar starts to fall, rates will rise and gold goes
to at least 1650 with silver three or more times the percentage of gold move. For sure, funds will be frozen in banks.
Only pain makes man think.
9-19-2019They acknowledged really bad news and then ran the mkt sideways with a last minute pop to even
while bond rates started to rise sharply. Brexit is a done deal as Boris Johnson has played the remainers masterfully.
The wishes and blatant ignoring of massively bad news is truly wonderful to behold. A Fed cut next week will seal
the deal by shortly causing a run on the dollar and long rates spiking as all the capital gains in bonds will be taken by
the first ones to run.
9-23-2019 The pigeons finally figured out WeWorks is a scam. Cash flow from XCs of actual Goods & Services is
collapsing, but payments on debts and maintaining hedged derivative positions is increasing. Ergo, negative interest
paper has big Capital gain, Hmm, oh what shall I do as interest rates rise. Golly, if just a few of us sell then interest
rates must spike, preceded by silver and gold.
The ferocious denial by the corrupt talkers on the financial channels is truly staggering. The bigger, the herd,
the worse the panic.
Trump must distract with blame. Prosecutions will begin very soon. Biden is toast, what a moron, bragging on
TV about coercing the Ukrainians for personal gain as Vice President, tsk! tsk! Joe.
10-01-2019 The purchasing Managers Index(PMI) dropped to 45 today. Ouch the economies is contracting
rapidly = in recession for over six(now 8months) months now.
The masterstroke of buying your own stock back with borrowed money means you don't burn up the stock certificate,
you have to carry it on your books a an asset. wonderful so as you buy the price higher by using debt or your cash
means you also have a debt to repay or no free cash.
In a recession stock prices fall, oops your stock you own also decreases, But your IOU payments don't. Hmm, maybe
you should sell some "I promise to do nothing for you certificates ." = the stocks you sold once before but bought back
to raise some cash. Golly, that could cause your stock price to fall.= decreasing the value of your assets and turning
the IOUs you owe into junk. Oh the pleasure of being masters of the universe; your masterstroke of genius caused a
catastrophic financial collapse and your company goes bankrupt.
a suggestion: Make it illegal for a company to buy back its own stocks, and no stock options, both lead to enormous
conflicts of interest. cash or in kind bonuses only.
10-25-2019 All the actual real numbers have been accekerating down, while they actually pushed the market
up to slight new high today. They have pounded on gold and silver using the massive liqiudity injections by the Fed to
cover-up the huge negative cash flows from declining sales of actual G&s.
The announcement of a criminal referrals by Barr means the parties over. The run starts now. Politically, the
democrats are done. Tulsi Gabbard is the future of the democratic party, if it survives. After all, they are the party
that birthed the Ku Klux Klan. The people will want to make someone pay and Trump was wrongfully accused. The
Dems will get blamed for crashing the economy and blocking reform. The MIC repubs will not go unscathed either.
Last edited by Dan on Sun Dec 20, 2020 11:30 am; edited 20 times in total
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